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各位网友请教一下前端收窄、后端走弱,预计26年销售-6.0%、投资-7.5%

2025-11-0
各位网友请教一下前端收窄、后端走弱,预计26年销售-6.0%、投资-7.5%
前端收窄、后端走弱,预计26年销售-6.0%、投资-7.5%表7:2025-2026年房地产开发投资数据预测汇总表年份2013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025E2026E同比(%)2013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025E2026E施工面积(万平米)665,572726,482735,693758,975781,484822,300893,821926,759975,387904,999838,364733,247652,610589,650施工面积16.1 9.2 1.3 3.2 3.0 5.2 8.7 3.7 5.2 (7.2)(7.2)(12.7)(11.0)(9.6)新开工面积(万平米)201,208179,592154,454166,928178,654209,342227,154224,433198,895120,58795,37673,89360,56557,751新开工面积13.5 (10.7)(14.0)8.1 7.0 17.2 8.5 (1.2)(11.4)(39.4)(20.4)(23.0)(18.0)(4.6)竣工面积(万平米)101,435107,459100,039106,128101,48693,55095,94291,218101,41286,22299,83173,74360,67152,713竣工面积2.0 5.9 (6.9)6.1 (4.4)(7.8)2.6 (4.9)11.2 (15.0)17.0 (27.7)(17.7)(13.1)土地购置费(亿元)13,50217,45917,67518,77923,16936,38741,67544,45243,50541,03038,61735,65531,99431,722土地购置费11.6 29.3 1.2 6.2 23.4 57.0 14.5 6.7 (2.1)(5.7)(5.5)(8.7)(10.3)(0.8)投资额(亿元)86,01395,03695,979102,581109,799120,264132,194141,443147,602132,895110,913100,28086,06179,596投资额19.8 10.5 1.0 6.9 7.0 9.5 9.9 7.0 4.4 (10.0)(9.6)(10.6)(14.2)(7.5)销售额(亿元)81,42876,29287,281117,627133,701149,973159,725173,613181,930133,308116,62296,75085,53578,813销售额26.3 (6.3)14.4 34.8 13.7 12.2 6.5 8.7 4.8 (26.7)(6.5)(17.1)(11.6)(7.9)销售面积(万平米)130,551120,649128,495157,349169,408171,654171,558176,086179,433135,837111,73597,38589,68484,322销售面积17.3 (7.6)6.5 22.5 7.7 1.3 (0.1)2.6 1.9 (24.3)(8.5)(12.9)(7.9)(6.0)资料来源:统计局,申万宏源研究www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告销售均价(元/平米)6,2376,3246,7937,4767,8928,7379,3109,86010,1399,81410,4379,9359,5379,347销售均价7.7 1.4 7.4 10.1 5.6 10.7 6.6 5.9 2.8 (3.2)6.4 (4.8)(4.0)(2.0)61