> 数据图表我想了解一下1.2 美联储决定继续按兵不动
2026-3-01.2 美联储决定继续按兵不动图表：FOMC年内降息与不变支持度持平（%）图表：经济预期转向“非典型滞胀” （%）资料来源：Bloomberg，光大期货研究所资料来源：Bloomberg，光大期货研究所➢ 美联储表态“鹰派观望”：美联储3月维持利率不变，表态中性偏鹰。内部分歧犹存，通胀担忧升温，点阵图显示年内降息预期有限。经济预测上调了增长与通胀，政策焦点转向应对滞胀风险。同时，美联储面临政治压力与独立性考验，若油价持续高位，或被迫转鹰。p 6202620272028GDP失业率PCE核心PCE联邦基准利率12月预测 2.3%最新预测 2.4%12月预测 4.4%最新预测 4.4%12月预测 2.4%最新预测 2.7%12月预测 2.5%最新预测 2.7%12月预测 3.4%最新预测 3.4%2.0%2.3%4.2%4.3%2.1%2.2%2.1%2.2%3.1%3.1%1.9%2.1%4.2%4.2%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%3.1%3.1%长期1.8%2.0%4.2%4.2%2.0%2.0%//3.0%3.1%美联储利率预测点阵图l 12月预测l 3月预测lllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll4.54.03.53.02.5llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll202620272028长期 
